Fear of dangerous scenarios for Israel and a strange mystery about “Netanyahu”

Fear of dangerous scenarios for Israel and a strange mystery about “Netanyahu”

In an environment where regional and international pressure against Israel has increased due to the military campaign against Gaza.

The environment around Israel has become extremely unsafe and the Israeli army’s ground attack on Gaza could also open new fronts of war against it.

A major difficulty facing Netanyahu is to fulfill his promise to eliminate Hamas and Palestinian resistance groups from Gaza.

After the Al-Aqsa Storm operation and the death of more than 1,500 Israelis, wounding of about 3,500 people and capture of dozens of Israelis, Israel was truly in shock.

An equation which, of course, still continues due to the repeated incursions of Palestinian groups into Israel and the unveiling of some of their modern military achievements.

Which has focused a significant portion of the efforts of Israel’s political and military leaders on being able to give the appearance of normalcy to the situation in Israel.

However, the fact is that Israel suffered a heavy blow from Palestinian groups during the Al-Aqsa Storm operation and the period that followed, and for that reason, we have seen in the past, senior Israeli political and military officials have criticized Hamas and the Palestinian resistance.

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The groups have been given continuous threats. They are continuously talking about ground attack on Gaza and destroying Hamas and Palestinian resistance groups.

This issue has been particularly emphasized by Israel’s Prime Minister “Benjamin Netanyahu”.

In this regard, Netanyahu has placed so much emphasis on the ground attack on Gaza that some analysts believe that it is practically impossible for him to withdraw from this issue, and if he goes back on his words, it could have very bad consequences for him.

However, it must be acknowledged that Netanyahu is facing a paradoxical situation in this regard: Israel’s ground attack on Gaza is not so simple, this attack poses serious challenges for Tel Aviv.

According to analysts, these challenges are so serious that Netanyahu cannot remain indifferent towards them.

From this perspective, Netanyahu is practically trapped in an equation where the smallest misstep on his part could lead to a much bigger crisis for Israel than the consequences of the Al-Aqsa Storm operation.

In this regard, we can specifically mention 3 major challenges facing Israel in the ground attack on Gaza.

1: Israel and the internal security crisis

The Israeli army can attack Gaza only when it is comfortable with the internal security of its back lines, especially its land.

However, the reality on the ground is that since the successful implementation of the Al-Aqsa storming till today, Palestinian groups have penetrated deep into Israel several times.

The regime continues to giving the message its citizens living near Gaza strip that do not leave your house under any circumstances.

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Meanwhile, there are serious concerns about the penetration of Lebanon’s Hezbollah into Israel from the northern and Syrian borders.

It is this equation that actually makes Israel’s ground attack fronts on Gaza extremely vulnerable and poses serious security challenges to the regime.

These issues make an Israeli ground attack on Gaza a risky and dangerous option for Netanyahu.

2: Increasing foreign pressure on Israel

Following the beginning of Israel’s widespread air, missile and drone attacks on Gaza, many international forums, especially human rights organizations, as well as world leaders and, of course, the public criticized Israel’s actions and procedures in killing civilians in Gaza.

However, in particular, two important regional and international actors, namely Iran and the United States, both have an interest in Israel not launching a ground attack on Gaza.

This is an equation that has created serious pressure on Israel. On the one hand, because of Iran’s support for the Palestinians, it has sent clear signals to Israel not to launch a ground attack on Gaza and said that a ground attack is a red line.

On the other hand, Biden is also trying to establish a regional consent to prevent the outbreak of a war that would not worsen his already weak situation.

This is a war that could seriously damage the US government’s core strategy of focusing on the Ukraine war and China’s activities in East Asia. And could jeopardize America’s strategic interests at the international level.

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In this regard, senior Iranian officials have recently given a clear warning to Israel that military action against Gaza could have unpredictable consequences for the regime.

On the other hand, the US Secretary of State visited 6 Arab countries on a regional tour, and the main goal of all these consultations was to establish stability in the West Asian region and prevent any costly war-like situation.

3: Fear of dangerous scenarios for Israel and Netanyahu

Finally, it must be said, Netanyahu is well aware that if the war against Gaza ends too soon, it would be a serious defeat for Israel and the myths about power of this regime military and intelligence that has created in the international arena.

At the same time, an early end to the war would cause Israeli citizens to become disillusioned with the regime, and above all, it would cause a major political earthquake within Israel.

An earthquake after which Netanyahu and Israel’s senior military and intelligence officials will have to answer for their inability to predict the Al-Aqsa storming operation and confront the Palestinians’ capabilities.

Therefore, Netanyahu and his extremist allies are trying to continue the current war against Gaza as much as possible so that they can address some of the challenges that have arisen against him and his credibility.

In an environment where regional and international pressure against Israel has increased due to the military campaign against Gaza.

The environment around Israel has become extremely unsafe and the Israeli army’s ground attack on Gaza could also open new fronts of war against it.

A major difficulty facing Netanyahu is to fulfill his promise to eliminate Hamas and Palestinian resistance groups from Gaza.

On the one hand, if they were to take this action, it would be practically as if they had lit a match to a powder keg, which could then lead to a broader crisis for Israel that could actually threaten Israel’s existence.

And on the other hand, if he does not launch a ground attack on Gaza, it will mean that he has dealt a crushing defeat to the Palestinians. These are the things that are hanging like a sword in front of Netanyahu. And sooner or later their serious consequences and crisis will confront Netanyahu.