The Al-Aqsa storm and Netanyahu’s political future

The Al-Aqsa storm and Netanyahu's political future

The biggest fear that is haunting the Netanyahu government regarding the Israel-Palestine war is the possibility of Hezbollah joining this war.

Observers believe that Hezbollah’s entry into this war will depend on complex calculations within Lebanon and the organization. But if this organization decides to go to war, no one can stop it.

There is no doubt that the battle of “Al-Aqsa Storm” that the Hamas movement and Palestinian groups launched from the Gaza Strip is not similar to any of the last three major wars, neither in terms of scope nor surprise.

In terms of quantity. None of the battles fought by the movement against Israel since 2008 have been as comprehensive and shocking as these.

Whatever the final outcome of this war, Israeli intelligence and security services are going to be punished very severely.

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In which all the greater punishment is going to go to the Israeli Internal Security Organization or Shabak which is primarily responsible for assessing and predicting the situation.

It is on this organization that any potential threat from the West Bank and Gaza Strip is to be addressed.

If Aman or Israel’s military intelligence agency is held responsible for the failure to predict the October 1973 war, the greater responsibility for the Al-Aqsa storm will undoubtedly fall on the shoulders of “Shabak” this time.

However, “Mossad” and “Aman” should not be acquitted of responsibility for this failure.

This action of revenge will not be limited only to Shabak, but many Israeli army personnel will also be affected.

Because there are also reports that many senior officers of the Israeli Army are behind this massive attack by Hamas.

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Many officers were associated with Hamas and had provided many important and intelligence information to this organization.

Whatever the possible outcome of the Al-Aqsa storm war – which has been completely clear from the beginning – will determine the political future of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Because the committee that will be formed after this, like in most of the previous wars in Israel, this time too will first recommend the removal of political leaders.

In this way, Benjamin Netanyahu’s opponents in Israel will gain more strength and power, and they will take full advantage of their warnings against the extremist cabinet led by Netanyahu, and this will make it difficult for Netanyahu and his cabinet to remain in power.

What strengthens this possibility is the White House’s refusal to support Tel Aviv in Israel blaming Iran for the Al-Aqsa storming.

There is no evidence regarding the words of US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken as well as some European leaders like France and England that “Iran is involved in the Al-Aqsa stormtrooper war and is provoking the Palestinians to start it”

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This shows that Europe and America are busy with their own problems and do not want to support Netanyahu for a new front.

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These countries want Netanyahu’s file to be closed somehow and they feel that there can be no better time than the Al-Aqsa storm when they can hold Netanyahu responsible for all these problems.

In such a situation and with Netanyahu’s departure, it is expected that secular thought in Israel will gain new strength, especially for those who want to end the political and cultural influence of religious parties and currents in this regime.

Because these currents and parties have created deep divisions in Israeli society by presenting plans to reform the justice system. The extent is that due to these parties, division has arisen even within the Israeli army.

But more importantly, the biggest fear that is haunting the Netanyahu government and Israel regarding the Israel-Palestine war is the possibility of Hezbollah getting involved in this war.

One of the scenarios that Israel now fears most is the expansion of the war in Lebanon through the involvement of Hezbollah.

Even though Observers believe that Hezbollah’s entry into this war will depend on complex calculations within Lebanon and the organization.

But if this organization decides to go to war, no one can stop it. And if that happens, no one knows what will happen not only to Netanyahu and his radical cabinet, but also to the future of Israel.

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