The Israeli newspaper Jerusalem Post clearly states that it is impossible to regime change in Iran.
Jerusalem Post wrote: Contrary to the propaganda of the western media and the opposition, 70% of the population of Iran fully supports the government of this country.
Posting an article written by Iranian expert Raz Zimmt on possible overthrow the Islamic Republic regime in Iran, The Jerusalem Post reviews the possibilities of regime change in Iran.
Jerusalem Post coated: Regime change in Iran will only be possible if the “silent majority,” including many traditional pragmatists, buy into revolution, and it will not succeed based merely on liberals and diaspora Iranians, an INSS position paper said.
Regarding the diversity of the Iranian population and their impact on participation in regime change, the newspaper writes:
“Iran is composed of a diverse population encompassing deeply religious believers and secular individuals. It includes supporters, critics, and adversaries of the regime; young liberal students as well as young anti-Western hardliners; urban-educated middle classes aspiring for change, and traditional middle and lower classes who may prefer maintaining the status quo, especially without resorting to violent and revolutionary means.”
he Jerusalem Post quoted the INSS as saying:
“An Iranian citizen can observe Ramadan and also commemorate Cyrus the Great Day, oppose the obligatory hijab, and simultaneously view the hijab as a meaningful religious, national, and societal emblem. They can both…voice disapproval of Iranian aid to Syria while opposing American sanctions. They may dissent from the regime’s stance on destroying Israel and at the same time object to the policies of the Israeli government,”
Israel’s failed efforts of regime change in Iran
Zimmt wrote that,“In recent years, Israel itself has not concealed its intentions to undermine the Iranian regime’s stability.”
In late 2021, Israel’s security services devised a strategy “where pressure from the Iranian public, though not inclined to embrace alterations to their way of life, could potentially impact the Iranian nuclear program. This revelation followed a cyberattack that disrupted fuel supplies within the country.”
Read More: US and Israel failed to achieve goal in Iran, intelligence generals says regime surviving
The idea was “that lengthy queues at gas stations might prompt the ‘privileged North Tehran residents’ to pressure the government into abandoning its nuclear ambitions.”
Zimmt then highlighted that in April 2023, following the onset of the September 2022 protests in Iran, Reza Pahlavi, the son of the deposed shah, visited Israel at the invitation of Intelligence Minister Gila Gamliel.
“The visit was also interpreted as an indication of Israel’s intentions to aid the exiled Iranian opposition in its efforts to oust the regime,” wrote Zimmt.
Gamliel, Bolton, and other speakers also said that regime change was possible, but none of those present represented the traditional pragmatists who Zimmt said are necessary for any revolution to be successful.
According to Jerusalem Post Zimmt quoted Iranian sociologist Hamidreza Jalaeipour, who estimated that 70% of Iranians comprise this silent pragmatist traditionalist majority, who might approve of religion and aspects of the regime, while rejecting enforced religion and other aspects of the regime.
They observed “that the majority of demonstrators in 2022 were middle-class youths aged 15-25. Efforts to shift the protests from a civil movement toward a movement seeking regime change, with the endorsement of foreign media, proved ineffective, because the majority of the populace declined to engage in a violent revolutionary endeavor.”
Source: Jerusalem Post
